Massive situational edge to UCF. Tulsa's late season win steak has put them back into play as an at-large team most probably only of they run the table the reaming regular season games. That added pressure comes on the heels off knocking off a ranked SMU team on the road, coming back from a 20-point deficit but losing by a basket at U Conn and then beating Cincinnati by a hoop in OT on Thursday, plus they host Temple on Tuesday.

UCF may seem like an unlikely team to back having lost and failed to cover 3 straight all as a double-digit dog and are 1-6 SU and 2-5 ATS their last 7 games. However, lets break out their home games and while they were 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS we can explain them. The cover was versus Temple and they played well in a 2 point loss. In their other 3 home defeats they played Cincinnati, off an upset loss, they played U Conn, off an upset loss and the fourth home game was versus Memphis which you guessed was off a huge upset loss as a 16.5 point favorite. For good measure lets also mention that in UCF's last game on Thursday they again faced Memphis and the Tigers were off another upset loss as a 7 point favorite.
Central Florida is a good team at home and we'll back them today.