NFL 5*
(NFL) Minnesota vs. Cincinnati, 09/12/2021 1:00 PM, Score: 24 - 27
Total: 47.00 | -108.00 Over
Result: Win
Vikings @ Bengals 1:00 PM ET
Game#467-468
Play On: Over 47.0 (5*)

Since 2019, Cincinnati has played 5-0 to the over at home whenever there was a total of 45.5 or greater. Those 5 contests averaged a combined 57.4 points scored per game. Joe Burrow is coming off an impressive rookie season despite it being cut in half due to injury. Burrow has a talented trio of receivers at his disposal that can stretch the field. Conversely, this is a Bengals defense that allowed 26.5 points and 389.4 yards per game a season ago. Nothing they did in the offseason suggests that there will be vast improvement defensively.

The Vikings offense should be able to put on a sizable number of points against a porous Cincinnati defense. I especially look for running back Dalvin Cook to have a monster day against a defense that allowed 148 rushing yards per game and 5.1 yards per rushing attempt last season. That will in turn make for some some advantageous play action passing opportunities for the tremendous wide receiving tandem of Justin Jefferson and Adam Thielen. Those 2 combined for 162 catches, 2325 yards, and 21 touchdowns last season. On a negative note, the Vikings defense was terrible a season ago while allowing 29.7 points and 393.3 yards per game. Like the Bengals stop unit, I see no reason to believe Minnesota will be markedly improved on defense. Since 2019, Minnesota has played 11 road games in which there was a total of 45.5 or greater and there was a combined average of 55.2 points scored per contest. Bet on this game to go over the total.