This is an 8* TOP WEDNESDAY TOTAL on the UNDER Orioles/Twins.

I had a play on the UNDER in this matchup yesterday, and while that pick came up short, we're expecting a "duel" finally in the finale.

The visitors go with Jorge Lopez (1-5, 6.00 ERA), who enters off his best start of the season, allowing two earned runs while striking out eight over five innings in what turned out to be an unfortunate loss to the Nationals last Friday. Clearly, Lopez is improving and there's no reason not to think he won't continue to progress here.

The home side counters with Michael Pineda (2-2, 3.31 ERA) who returns from a brief stint on the IL because of a wrist issue. Like the rest of his rotation, Pineda has been far from perfect this season, but he's been sharp at home with a 2.88 ERA thus far.

Finally, note that Minnesota has seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of its last ten after playing to five or more straight OVERS in a row.

Look for this one to sneak UNDER.

Good luck, NP