This is a 10* TOP TOTAL on the UNDER Warriors/Nuggets.

The first two games of this series have flown OVER the number, but we're expecting that trend to end here with the shift in venue.

It's essentially "do or die" for the Nuggets today, as no team in NBA history has ever come back from an 0-3 hole. Teams are 0-143 all time in that situation.

So how will Denver avoid the 0-3 hole? By pushing the pace and trying to beat the Warriors at their "own game," or by slowing things down and running their offense through their big man, while simultaneously playing a full-court trapping defense.

There's no other way the undermanned Nuggets are going to be able to pull this out.

Denver has also seen the total go UNDER the number in six of its last eight in trying to revenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent.

This number is now just a bit too high after the back-to-back higher-scoring games to open this series, so the play is the UNDER.

Good luck, NP