This is a 10* TOP TOTAL on the OVER Guardians/Astros.

We base a lot of our totals releases based upon certain trends. Lop-sided runs/streaks have a way of naturally correcting themselves over the short, mid and long-term.

Both of these teams have been playing to a plethora of lower-scoring games of late, but we feel that has helped in driving today's total a few points lower than it should be. So time for us to take advantage here.

Cleveland has seen the total go UNDER in four straight, while Houston has seen the total go UNDER in six straight.

That includes in Cleveland's 6-1 win here yesterday. Note though that Houston has seen the total go OVER the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent in which it was held to one or fewer runs in.

Zach Plesac (1-3, 4.42 ERA) gets the call for the Guardians, while Framber Valdez (3-2, 2.68) gets the nod for the Astros.

Each is in the wrong place at the wrong time for this one.

Expect this total to fly OVER the number sooner, rather than later.

Good luck, NP