This is a 10* NON-CONF. TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the OVER Packers/Bills.

I think this game will be decided by the men under center. Who would have thought that an Aaron Rodgers led Packers' team could ever be a double-digit underdog, but here we are.

The Packers are 3-4 and enter on a three-game losing streak. That includes a 23-21 loss to Washington last week. Note though that Green Bay has seen the total go OVER the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to three or more straight SU/ATS losses in a row. Rodgers is in unchartered territory here, but I expect the veteran to open up the playbook here as he looks to keep pace with this high-flying Bills offense.

Buffalo averages 29.3 PPG, led by 323 passing yards per contest, which is No. 1 in the league.

The Bills had last week off after a tough 24-20 win over the Chiefs in KC. Rested and now ready for the second half push, I look for Josh Allen and company to test this Packers' secondary early and often.

Green Bay's defense is nothing to write home about.

I just expect the Packers to come out desperate and to score some points. At the same time, I don't expect Buffalo to have any mercy here either.

This number is low, the play is the OVER.

Good luck, NP