10* TOTAL BOOKIEKILLER - OFF 4-1 MONDAY!
(NBA) Sacramento vs. Memphis,
Total: 234.00 | -105.00 Under
Result: Win
This is a 10* TOTAL BOOKIEKILLER on the UNDER Kings/Grizzlies.

Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end this evening.

The Kings have won six straight. They're off a 137-129 win over the Pistons. They have the No. 1 offense in the league, averaging 121.4 PPG.

But I'm expecting a classic letdown here in this difficult road venue. Sacramento is just 3-3 on the road, and with a game at Atlanta tomorrow night, followed by a game at the Celtics, this is a classic letdown-look-ahead spot.

The last thing the 10-7 Grizzlies want to do is to turn this into a track meet. Memphis averages 114.4 PPG, ranked 11th. The Grizz have lost three of their last four and have seen the total go OVER the number in two straight.

When these teams played in late October, the Grizzlies won by a score of 125-110 as 2.5-point favorites. That total fell UNDER the number of 237.

Tonight's total is set a little lower, but not quite low enough in my estimation.

The overall situation that each club finds itself coming into this one, combined with the numbers/trends point to this contest being a lot more of a defensive affair than the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe.

The play is the UNDER.

Good luck, NP