This is a 10* HORIZON LEAGUE TOTAL OF YEAR on the UNDER Oakland/Youngstown State.

This one sets up to be a defensive affair from a situational stand point, but it's also backed by a couple of strong and relative O/U trends.

Oakland is in need of wins as it comes to town 9-12. Youngstown State is 15-6. These teams played two weeks ago and the Penguins won by a score of 85-69 at Oakland, the total going OVER the number of 151.5 in that one.

Tonight's total is a couple points higher, and now it's a little too high. Nte that Oakland has seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent.

Youngstown State is one of the highest scoring teams in the country, but after its five-game win streak was snapped in an 88-75 loss to Milwaukee, I'm expecting it to come out more focussed on the defensive end this evening vs. the offensively challenged Grizzlies.

Note as well that the Penguins have seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to five or more straight OVERS in a row.

Expect a much tigher, and more defensive battle than what we saw between these schools in Oakland.

The play is the UNDER.

Good luck, NP