This is a 10* AAC TOY on the UNDER USF/SMU.

As primiarly a situational handicapper at heart, these are the types of games that I wait for to come along each season. This one ticks all the boxes for me.

Both teams need a win. USF is just 9-12, and SMU is just 7-14. Look for this competitiveness to translate into a tight, defensive affair here.

USF has now seen the total go OVER the number in nine of its last ten, including six straight after a 79-76 OT loss at Temple. That's significant to note here though, as the Bulls have seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of their last 12 still after playing to five or more straight OVERs in a row.

SMU has played to three straight OVERS, and that's also important for us to take note of, as the Mustangs have seen the total go UNDER the number in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight OVERS in a row.

This O/U line is now inflated a few points higher than it normally would/should be.

The play is the UNDER.

Good luck, NP