This is an 8* TOTAL SPECIAL on the UNDER ECU/SMU.

Neither team is very good, and I'm expecting that a combination of ineptitude and aggressive defensive play will lead to this total staying UNDER the posted number.

ECU is 13-12, but just 1-6 on the road. It averages only 69.8 PPG, while allowing 70.2. The Pirates have seen the total go OVER the number in four of their last five, and while their last game vs. SMU did fly OVER the number in their 77-72 upset home victory as two-point dogs back on February 4th, I expect a much tighter, and ultimately lower-scoring contest in the rematch.

Note that SMU has seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss as a favorite against an opponet.

SMU has seen the total go OVER the number in eight of its last nine, including four straight. Off back-to-back high-scoring losses, I look for the Mustangs, who are just 9-18 overall and only 6-8 at home, to double down on the defensive end this evening.

In my estimation, this total is a little high. The play is the UNDER.

Good luck, NP