This is a 10* MISSOURI VALLEY GOY on Valparaiso.

I love the way this one sets up for Valparaiso to, at the very least, comfortably sneak in through the backdoor down the stretch.

Valpo is just 11-19. It's off three straight SU/ATS losses in a row, which is significant to note here as the Beacons are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row.

They also play with revenge here after a 77-70 OT home loss to Murray State as three-point underdogs back in December, which is also important to note here, as Valporaiso is 4-1 ATS in its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss against an opponent.

Murray State is getting just a little too much respect here in my opinion, after an 84-69 road loss at Missouri State last time out.

I'm not calling for the outright upset, but this one comes "right down to the wire."

Grab the points, the play is VALPARAISO.

Good luck, NP