This is a 10* WESTERN-CONFERENCE TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER Kings/Jazz.

I like the way this one sets up to be a lower-scoring defensive battle.

Utah has won three of its last four. It's seen the total go OVER the number in seven straight. But that fact has just helped in driving this particular total here today a few points higher than it normally would/should be in my opinion.

When these teams played on January 3rd here, Sacramento managed the 117-115 upset win as a 2.5-point dog and the total stayed well "under" the number of 242.5.

I'm expecting an even tigher, more defensive affair this time around though. Note that the Jazz have also seen the total go UNDER the number in three of their last four in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent.

Sacramento enters off three straight SU/ATS victories in a row (all on the road), but note that the Kings have seen the total go UNDER the number in four of their last six after playing to three or more straight SU/ATS victories in a row.

Two hot teams collide, but I expect this competitive atmosphere to produce a defensive battle. The play is the UNDER.

Good luck, NP