The home team tends to win these games (five of the last six), but Miami has won against the spread in five straight. The Patriots threw the ball 55 times last week and it is something they don't want to have to do this week. I look for them to come out and try to run the ball against the Dolphins defense. The Dolphins' offense showed last week how explosive their offense can be. The Dolphins have won their previous four games against the spread overall. They have also won their last four games against the spread on the road. New England has lost five straight games against the spread and seven of their previous eight. They have also lost five straight games at home against the spread. The Dolphins have scored 20 or more points in four of the previous five matchups with the Patriots while New England has averaged only 16 against Miami's defense in their last five games. As long as Tua can stay healthy the Dolphins offense can get the job done. I like them to go on the road and take down the hoodie.


Play on Miami. This is a 4% play