We have been here before with the Buffalo Bills taking on the Kansas City Chiefs. They have split their 6 games since 2020 but the Chiefs have won both playoff games. During the season, the KC offense has not been as explosive as in years past, putting up 22.1 points a game. The defense has stepped up to make up for the offense, as they have allowed just 16.7 points per game, which was 2nd in the NFL. Buffalo has played well on both sides of the ball, especially down the stretch. At one point it looked like they would not even make the playoffs. On the offensive side, they are putting up 26.8 points per game. On the defensive side, they are giving up 18.2 points per game which is 4th best in the NFL. The Bills have won the last three regular season matches while the Chiefs have taken both playoff games. This will be the first road game in the playoffs for Mahomes. Buffalo has been red hot as they have won six in a row. This should be a close game, but I don’t trust the receivers of Kansas City to come through in the clutch.

Play on Buffalo on the money line. This is a 3% play.