With the series tied 1-1 OKC would like to get home court advantage back as soon as possible. I am looking for them to get it back today. Doncic is not 100% with a sprained knee for Dallas and they got 29 points from PJ Washington in their game two win but I don’t expect another game like from Washington, who averaged under 13 points a game this season. OKC has depth and plays a lot better on the defensive end. The Thunder were ranked fourth in defensive efficiency, allowing just 109.5 points per 100 possessions while the Mavericks were 16th, at 112.4 points per 100 possessions. OKC has covered the spread in two of the last three between these two teams, while covering in eight of their last ten overall. I like OKC to win outright but will take the points in what could be a close game.

PLay on OKC. This is a 3% play