There are several injury questions going into this game, but we know for sure that Dame Lillard is out for the Bucks. Lillard hasn’t played for the Bucks since March 18. Without Dame in the lineup they have gone 3-0 ATS and 2-1 overall. The Nuggets have been struggling to cover the number, going 3-10 over the last 13 games. This is the Bucks fifth straight road game against a Western Conference opponent and their third straight game as an underdog by 3.5 or fewer points. Nikola Jokic will probably be a game time decision. Denver’s defense has allowed 122.4 points per 100 possessions over their previous 10 games overall. The Bucks have given up 112.7 points per 100 possessions over their last 10. The Bucks are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall, while the Nuggets are 3-10 ATS in their previous 13. Denver has failed to cover in 8 straight at home. I will ride with the Bucks defense in this one.

Play on Milwaukee. This is a 2% play