Without Aaron Jones, I'm not taking the Packers here. It's arguable that the Lions shot themselves in the foot on Thanksgiving, fumbling the ball and Goff resembling the old LA Rams Goff with interceptions and bad decision making. That's not the chiefs and this defense is much better than that of the Lions. It's going to be cold, possibly snowing in Lambeau tonight, and if we're going to support the trend of the under in Primetime games, we bet on the better defense and team who will have the QB most capable of putting up more points in the event of a low scoring affair. KC has only NOT covered on the road vs the Surging Broncos and a Jets top 3 defense, so we can excuse the Packers defense that recently entered the top 10 defensively and have only beaten the Choking Chargers, Brett Rypien Rams, and Saints at home this season. That's not a good enough track record to scare me off the chiefs in Patrick's first game in Greenbay. So many players are questionable to play for Greenbay defensively and if any of them miss, it could be real bad for the Pack (Jaire Alexander, Rashan Gary, Kenny Clark, DeVondre Campbell).

Biggest Reason to bet chiefs: Packers are 27th in Rushing defense. Isaiah Pacheco is picking up steam after his 2 TD game vs Raiders and his 89 yards rushing game vs Philly. If you can't stop the run like Denver did, the passing game will be open and this offense will give you Fits of aggravation if you're the other teams defensive coordinator.

Official Play: Chiefs -5.5

Side Bet: Pacheco Anytime TD

Hail Mary: Chris Jones to record a sack (+124)