I'm on the Chiefs Moneyline vs the 49ers for these reasons:

- Defense wins Championships. Chiefs are the better defense in this game, and also has the better QB under center.

- We've seen San Franciscos offense look timid vs physical play, and the Chiefs have played 2 really physical teams before this matchup, holding Baltimore, Miami and Buffalo to under 25 points.

- 49ers defense is suspect and has allowed 21 points to the Packers and 31 to the Lions. I would expect KC to average thier season scoring total tonight in the big game.

- San Fran have scored only 7 points in the first half in each playoff game. KC have scored more than 12 points in each of their 3 playoff games. More than 15 points in the last 2 first halfs played.

- San Fran mounted a comeback in both games played this post season, KC have been a team I trust to avoid a comeback from The 49ers if KC can snag the lead first as they have done vs good teams like San Fran.

- Kickers. This game could very well be a field goal game, judging by the close spread and Under 47.5 being the most favored bet on this game. And if it does come down to 3 points, we can trust our money with the 49ers Kicker Jake Moody who has been awful in the playoffs, missing a 3pt field goal is both Playoff games played, while Butker for KC is 7 for 7 in 3pt FGs and Extra Points this season. This game could very well come down to their kicking legs.

Official Play: KC Moneyline

Side Bet: Under 47.5

Side Bet: Christian McCaffrey UNDER 90.5 rushing yards

Hail Mary: Brock Purdy over 3.5 Rushing Attempts