I'm on the Over of 144 in this Tournament Matchup of Wisconsin vs JMU for these reasons:

- JMU can win this game, but the spread is too close for me to touch. Betting the over is where I feel comfortable putting money on that belief that JMU can upset Wisconsin.

- This is arguably Wisconsins worst defensive season, allowing 45% shooting to opponents and 37% deep ball success allowed.... it's astonishing how they made it through the season with only 13 losses in the conference where you need defense to really stand out, however they still allow one 69.9 points per game.

- Wisconsin are a whopping 23-12 to the over this season. So it's hard for me to say "JMU can't score 75 points against a timid defense, and still lose" because they very well can. They're a team that's going to go down swinging for sure, Averaging 84 points per game.

- I have this game capped 75 - 79 win for Wisconsin. But it also could go the other way.

Official Play: Over 145.50

Side Bet: JMU +5.5