Im on the over of 7.5 runs here in this game 3 of Mets vs Phillies for these reasons:

- These teams have played a lot this season, and they are 10-4 to the over of 7.5 in this year's meetings (not including the 3 games that just went over in this playoff series).

- Ranger Suarez doesn’t have a good K rate, and he gets hit a lot, averaging nearly a hit per inning (0.93) and has a 3.46 ERA. He struggles evenly vs left and right handed batters, but the Mets batting rotation has been on fire since the all star break and should get runs off Suarez early.

- Jose Quintana also has a below average K rate but still throws the four seam fastball and a 90 mph sinker which the Phillies do well against. I don’t see him having a harder time than Ranger Suarez but as I’ve said before about the Mets…. I don’t like or have faith in their bullpen. Once Jose leaves the mound, all bets are off and you can count on the Phillies to get more success at the plate.

- The Mets seem to own this Phillies Team at home though, so I’ll side bet on them to get a lead early on Suarez and barely hang on in a high scoring affair. Mets are 4-3 at home vs Philly

Official Play: Over 7.5 Runs

Side Bet: Fransisco Lindor over 1.5 Bases

Hail Mary: Mets Moneyline