I’m on the over of 232 in this Clippers @ Hawks game for these reasons:

- Both teams are trending over in their last 10 games. The Clippers are 6-4 to the over (3-2 to the over in their last 5 road games), and the hawks are 7-3 to the over (3-2 to the over in their last 5 home games).

- Both teams are bottom tier in turnovers allowed per game, so expect both teams to be in fast transitions off bad passes, blocks, and defensive success. Turnovers mean there will be extra possessions for both sides, and the best way to score off a turnover if on a fast break and quick turn around off those mistakes, so expect a quickened pace.

- Last time these teams played, the Clippers beat them by nearly 30 points (131 - 105 ) in LA, and the Clippers best 2 (Harden and Kawhi) only combined for 22 points. Expect a better outing from them, as well as a better shooting percentage for the Hawks since they will be the home team where they shoot 46.9 percent from the field and average 118 points.

- Hawks are 27th defensively and have gotten worse since trading Deandre Hunter to the Cavs. There’s nobody to contain Kawhi in this matchup, and while the Clippers aren’t top 20 offensively, they’ll have an opportunity to showcase points here.

Official Play: Over 232

Side Bet: Kawhi over 22.5 points

Hail Mary: Clippers -3.5