PREMIUM
Marc Lawrence 5* NFL Playoff Game Of The Year - Plus! - Sunday
(NFL) Cincinnati vs. Kansas City,
Point Spread: -1.00 | -112.00 Kansas City (Home)
Result: Win
Point Spread: -1.00 | -112.00 Kansas City (Home)
Result: Win
Play - Kansas City Chiefs (Game 324).
Edges - Chiefs: Head coach Andy Reid is 15-8 SU and 16-7 ATS in his NFL career when seeking triple revenge-exact, including 5-0 SUATS when at home and coming off a win, winning these games by an average win margin of 16.5 PPG; and QB Patrick Mahomes is 14-3 ATS in his NFL career when not favored by 3 or more points, including 8-0 ATS in games with an Over/Under total of 53 or fewer points … Bengals: Defending Super Bowl losers coming off a SU underdog win in the playoffs are 0-4 ATS since 2000; and Cincinnati is 0-3 SUATS in the playoffs when coming off a win of more than seven points when facing an opponents coming off an ATS loss … We seal the deal with these powerful playoff angles: 1) NFL playoff teams that came off a season-ending week of rest who won but lost ATS in a home game are 12-3-1 ATS when facing foes coming a double-digit win, including 6-0 ATS if the won 12 or more games the previous season; and 2) home team in Championship Round games between the “threes” (-3 or less points to +3 or less points) are 5-0 SUATS since 1980 when coming off a win of 10 or fewer points and facing a sub .800 opponent; and 3) team in Championship Round games coming off an ATS loss and seeking same-season revenge are 4-0 ATS since 1990 if they scored fewer than 30 points in the Divisional Round; and most important of all, playoff home teams who lost in the Championship Round of the playoffs the previous season are 24-3 SU and 23-4 ATS when facing a foe coming off a double-digit win, including 10-0 SUATS against opponents who rush the ball for 98 or fewer yard per game on the season. With the Chiefs 8-0 SU and 6-2 ATS this season in games in which they outrush opponents, expect less of the onus to be on Patrick Mahomes and more of it on the rushing game, and with the Chiefs playing their fifth consecutive AFC championship game, while seeking triple revenge against Cincinnati, including a loss in last year’s AFC title game, we recommend a 5* play on Kansas City as our featured NFL Playoff Game of the Year. Thank you and good luck as always.
Added Bonus Opinion: San Francisco over Philadelphia. Note - 49ers: 6-2 SU and 7-1 ATS in postseason games under Kyle Shanahan; and QB Brock Purdy is 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS as a starter with the Niners, with five of the wins coming against .500 or greater opponents. More than half Purdy’s passing yardage has come after the catch as the 49ers are one of the top teams in the NFL in YAC (Yards After a Catch). These yards after catch come predominantly on the perimeter - where the Eagles are weakest on defense … Eagles: Since 1990, the home team in Championship Playoff games coming off a win of 30-plus points are 7-12 SU and 6-13 ATS, including 1-8 ATS in the Over/Under win total in the game is fewer than 50 points, including 0-6 SUATS against sub .800 opponents coming off an ATS win of 3 or more points; and NFC #1 seeds at home in title games 2-9 ATS since 1998.
**Selection ratings are:
1* free play,
2* quality opinion play,
3* top quality selection,
4* top quality strong selection,
5* top quality exceptional selection,
10* top quality highest rated selection.
Note: the majority of top selections appear on Marc’s Preferred Picks Executive LTS Service.
Edges - Chiefs: Head coach Andy Reid is 15-8 SU and 16-7 ATS in his NFL career when seeking triple revenge-exact, including 5-0 SUATS when at home and coming off a win, winning these games by an average win margin of 16.5 PPG; and QB Patrick Mahomes is 14-3 ATS in his NFL career when not favored by 3 or more points, including 8-0 ATS in games with an Over/Under total of 53 or fewer points … Bengals: Defending Super Bowl losers coming off a SU underdog win in the playoffs are 0-4 ATS since 2000; and Cincinnati is 0-3 SUATS in the playoffs when coming off a win of more than seven points when facing an opponents coming off an ATS loss … We seal the deal with these powerful playoff angles: 1) NFL playoff teams that came off a season-ending week of rest who won but lost ATS in a home game are 12-3-1 ATS when facing foes coming a double-digit win, including 6-0 ATS if the won 12 or more games the previous season; and 2) home team in Championship Round games between the “threes” (-3 or less points to +3 or less points) are 5-0 SUATS since 1980 when coming off a win of 10 or fewer points and facing a sub .800 opponent; and 3) team in Championship Round games coming off an ATS loss and seeking same-season revenge are 4-0 ATS since 1990 if they scored fewer than 30 points in the Divisional Round; and most important of all, playoff home teams who lost in the Championship Round of the playoffs the previous season are 24-3 SU and 23-4 ATS when facing a foe coming off a double-digit win, including 10-0 SUATS against opponents who rush the ball for 98 or fewer yard per game on the season. With the Chiefs 8-0 SU and 6-2 ATS this season in games in which they outrush opponents, expect less of the onus to be on Patrick Mahomes and more of it on the rushing game, and with the Chiefs playing their fifth consecutive AFC championship game, while seeking triple revenge against Cincinnati, including a loss in last year’s AFC title game, we recommend a 5* play on Kansas City as our featured NFL Playoff Game of the Year. Thank you and good luck as always.
Added Bonus Opinion: San Francisco over Philadelphia. Note - 49ers: 6-2 SU and 7-1 ATS in postseason games under Kyle Shanahan; and QB Brock Purdy is 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS as a starter with the Niners, with five of the wins coming against .500 or greater opponents. More than half Purdy’s passing yardage has come after the catch as the 49ers are one of the top teams in the NFL in YAC (Yards After a Catch). These yards after catch come predominantly on the perimeter - where the Eagles are weakest on defense … Eagles: Since 1990, the home team in Championship Playoff games coming off a win of 30-plus points are 7-12 SU and 6-13 ATS, including 1-8 ATS in the Over/Under win total in the game is fewer than 50 points, including 0-6 SUATS against sub .800 opponents coming off an ATS win of 3 or more points; and NFC #1 seeds at home in title games 2-9 ATS since 1998.
**Selection ratings are:
1* free play,
2* quality opinion play,
3* top quality selection,
4* top quality strong selection,
5* top quality exceptional selection,
10* top quality highest rated selection.
Note: the majority of top selections appear on Marc’s Preferred Picks Executive LTS Service.