Play: Denver Nuggets (Game 554).

Edges for the Nuggets:

• 5-1 SU and 4-1-1 ATS at home in the playoffs coming off a playoff home loss, including 4-0 SU and 3-0-1 ATS as a favorite.

• 6-1 SUATS this season at home when coming off a SU home favorite loss.

Edges against the Timberwolves:

• NBA playoff teams coming off five consecutive SU and ATS wins are 0-3 SUATS away since 1995, with an average loss margin of more than 23 points per game.

Conclusion:

Our Well-Oiled Machine seals the deal, noting that division home teams coming off an opening round playoff series loss of 17 or fewer points are 10-0 SUATS in games where the Over/Under total in the game is more than 200 points. With that, we recommend a strong 3-unit play on the Denver Nuggets. We wish you the best of luck today and thank you for your continuing support.


**Selection ratings:
1* free play,
2* quality opinion play,
3* top quality selection,
4* top quality strong selection,
5* top quality exceptional selection,
10* top quality highest rated selection.
Note: Most top selections appear on Marc’s Preferred Picks Executive LTS Service.