Texas State is coming into this game with a 6-4 record this season and they have been a very inconsistent team in the Sun Belt at 3-3. They have lost 2 of their last 3 games and are coming off of a loss in their last game, but they will also be hungry to bounce back as they have not lost 2 straight games all season. They are going up against an Arkansas State team that is 5-5 this season and they have been playing better recently as they have won 2 of their last 3 games, but they are also coming off of a loss in their last game and unlike Texas State, Arkansas State has not bounced back once this season after a single loss as 4 of their losses have come in 2 game losing streaks and they are coming off of that 5th loss in their last game. This is also a team that Arkansas State does not match up well against as Arkansas State has a very bad run defense and Texas State has a very good run game as most of their offense comes on the ground. They have also been a very accurate passing offense when they do throw the ball and with the success they are going to have on the ground here, Texas State will get plenty of chances for big plays down field through the air as well. Texas State is going to cover the spread in this game.