Liverpool is coming into this match with a heavy trend to the over in their recent matches. They have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4 as well as 5 of their last 7 matches. Their attack has been great in these as they have been averaging over 2 goals scored per match in that span, but their defense has also been averaging over 1 goal allowed per match in that span as they have had a very potent attack all year but a bad defense that concedes a lot. When playing at home, this trend has been much stronger as they have gone over 2.5 goals in 6 of their last 7 matches there. They are going up against an Arsenal side that has not been trending to the over in their recent matches but this is a big match for both sides so both will be pushing for the full 3 points here. This match has big implications for the title race right now so Arsenal is going to be on the front foot trying to attack this weak Liverpool defense and ensure they come away with points. Liverpool has had a much stronger attack at home though and Arsenal has conceded goals in 4 of their last 5 matches so they are going to have a tough time keeping Liverpool out of their net here as well. Both of these teams will be pushing for goals and the win here so neither team is going to lay down and die if they fall behind. Between these two sides, there will be enough goals in this match to push it over 2.5 goals.
England Premier League: Liverpool/Arsenal over 2.5 goals, Rot. 200033