Virginia is coming into this game with an 11-3 record this season and they have not been playing that well in their recent games. They have lost 2 of their last 4 games and have also been a much better home team this season. Both of their 2 losses in that span were on the road against Memphis and Notre Dame which are also their only 2 road games played this season. Their other loss this year came at a neutral location against Wisconsin by 20+ points as well. They are going up against an NC State team that is 10-3 this season and has been playing very well recently. Their last loss was at a neutral location against a ranked team in Tennessee but they have won their last 3 straight games since that loss, including a conference win on the road against Notre Dame in that span. NC State is 2-0 in the ACC this season with both of their wins coming on the road as well so this is actually their 1st home conference game of the season. NC State has been a much better team at home all season as they have won all 7 of their games there and all of those wins have been by 10+ points. Virginia has struggled a lot more away from home this season while NC State already has 2 road conference wins and they are going to get up for this 1st home conference game of the season as they have been playing much better than Virginia recently as well. NC State will cover the spread in this game.