Burnley is coming into this match with no recent trend to the over in their matches but they have been allowing a lot of goals recently. They have allowed at least 2 goals in 2 of their last 3 as well as 3 of their last 5 matches. Defense has been an issue for Burnley all season as they have allowed 41 goals in their 20 matches, averaging over 2 goals allowed per match, but their attack has also been scoring goals as they have scored 20 goals in those 20 matches as well. They are going up against a Luton Town side that has been trending to the over in their recent matches. They have gone over 2.5 goals in their last 2 straight as well as 6 of their last 7 Premier League matches. Their defense has also been awful in those matches as they have allowed at least 2 goals in each of their last 2 as well as 5 of their last 6 league matches, but their attack has also been scoring goals with 5 goals in their last 2 matches. Luton Town is also going to have some confidence here as they have been playing much better in the league, winning 2 of their last 3 league matches, and they also lost the reverse fixture earlier this season so they will be hungry to get that 3 points back. Neither team has been playing well this season but both have been playing much better recently as they are finding their rhythm in the league and this is a huge match for both since points have been so hard to come by. Both of these teams are going to be pushing to score for the 3 points in this match as they both view this match as winnable and neither team is going to rest if they fall behind here. Between these two sides, there will be enough goals in this match to push it over 2.5 goals.
England Premier League: Burnley/Luton Town over 2.5 goals, Rot. 200137