The Bulls are coming into this game with a 39-43 record this season but they were very impressive in their game against the Hawks to get to this game. They beat the Hawks by 15 points and it was a game they were leading by 10+ points for most of the game. The Bulls have not been bad in their recent games either as they have won 3 of their last 4 games and even their 1 loss in that span came against the Knicks in overtime by just 1 point in a game the Knicks needed to win for the number 2 seed in the Eastern Conference. They have been playing better on the road recently as well as they have won 2 of their last 3 as well as 3 of their last 5 games on the road. They are going up against a Heat team that is 46-36 this season and they are in this game as they lost to the 76ers in their other game in this play-in tournament, losing on the road by 1 point, but now they are worse off in this game despite being at home as Jimmy Butler picked up an injury against the 76ers and will be out for this game. The Heat have actually been worse at home this season and they have lost 2 of their last 4 games there as well, their only 2 wins in that span both coming against the Raptors in the last 2 games of the regular season. The Heat have been a very different team without Butler this season and the Bulls have actually played against the Heat very well this season. The Bulls went 2-2 against the Heat this season, each team going 1-1 at home as well as 1-1 on the road. The Bulls actually won their 1st game in Miami earlier this season and then followed up with a 2 point loss in their very next game against, and all 4 of those were games with Butler playing. Butler was the player who brough the defensive intensity in that game against the 76ers and without him on the floor here, the Bulls have a much better chance of scoring points and pulling off the upset win here. The Bulls will cover the spread in this game.