Luton Town is coming into this match with a trend to the over in their recent matches. They have seen at least 3 goals total in 3 of their last 4 as well as 4 of their last 6 matches. Their defense has been awful in these matches as they have allowed at least 2 goals in 3 of their last 4 as well as 4 of their last 6 matches, allowing 5 goals in their last match alone, but their attack has still been finding the net with 3 goals in their last 2 matches. When playing at home, this trend has been much stronger as they have seen at least 3 goals total in 6 of their last 7 matches there with a majority of those seeing over 3.5 goals. Their attack has been much better at home as they have scored at least 2 goals in 3 of their last 4 matches there, scoring at least 1 goal in each of those, but their defense has still been bad as they have allowed at least 1 goal in each of their last 6 matches there, allowing at least 2 goals in 4 of those. They are going up against a Brentford side that has slightly been trending to the over in their recent matches. They have seen at least 3 goals total in 5 of their last 8 matches. Their defense has been very shaky as they have allowed at least 2 goals in 5 of their last 8 matches, allowing 3 goals total in their last 2 matches as well, but their attack has been much better as they have scored 5 goals in their last 2 matches. When playing away from home, this trend has been much stronger as they have seen at least 3 goals total in their last 4 straight matches, going over 3.5 goals in 2 of those. Brentford is going to have some confidence in this match as they are coming off of a much needed 2-0 win in their last match, but they are still going to be pushing for points here as they are only 7 points above the relegation zone and need to spread that gap a bit. They will have no problem finding the net here with the way this Luton Town defense has played, but Luton Town is no push over at home and they are going to be pushing that attack that has been scoring goals as they are actually in the relegation zone and need to take advantage of this home match with only 5 matches left in the season. Between these two sides, there will be enough goals in this match to push it over 3 goals here.
England Premier League: Luton Town/Brentford over 3 goals, Rot. 200165