The Orioles are coming into this game with a 47-24 record this season and they have been playing very well in their recent games. They have won their last 2 straight as well as 8 of their last 10 games, beating the Phillies in their last series as well. Their offense has been good as they have scored at least 6 runs in each of their last 2 games and they have not allowed more than 3 runs in either of those as well. They are going up against a Yankees team that is 50-24 this season, but they have not been playing well in their recent games. They have lost their last 2 straight as well as 3 of their last 4 games, and they have also lost 2 of their last 3 series' with those series losses coming against the Red Sox and the Dodgers. Their offense has struggled in recent games as they have scored 4 runs or less in 3 of their last 4 games, and their pitching has been awful as they allowed at least 8 runs in each of their last 2 games. Albert Suárez is starting for the Orioles and he is 3-0 with a 1.61 ERA this season. He has started in his last 4 appearances and he has not allowed more than 2 earned runs in any of those starts, pitching at least 5 innings in 3 of those 4 starts as well. He will continue to pitch well in this game with the Yankees offense struggling more recently, but he is also going to get run support in this game. Nestor Cortes is starting for the Yankees in this game and he is 3-5 with a 3.59 ERA this season. He has not been awful in his recent starts but he has also allowed at least 2 earned runs in each of his last 4 starts, and that is going to get him into trouble here as the Orioles have a very strong offense. He has been better at home this season, but he did allow 4 earned runs in his last home start against the Dodgers, and he also faced the Orioles earlier this season in a start that he allowed 4 earned runs in. The Orioles have been hot on offense recently and they are going to find ways to score runs in this game, and this is a huge series for them to take the lead of the AL East. The Orioles will win this game.