The Blue Jays are coming into this game with a 50-59 record this season and they have not been playing well in their recent games. They have lost 3 of their last 4 games and their pitching has been awful in these games. They have allowed 31 runs total in their last 4 games, averaging a little under 8 runs allowed per game in that span, and they are coming off of a game which they allowed 11 runs in. They are going up against a Yankees team that is 65-45 this season and they have been heating up in their recent games. They have won their last 5 straight games now, beating the Red Sox in a series and then sweeping the Phillies on the road in their last series, and they are going to be pushing to beat up on the Jays here as the Yankees are now tied with the Orioles at the top of the AL East. Their offense has also been great in their recent games as they have scored at least 6 runs in each of their last 6 games. Kevin Gausman is starting for the Blue Jays in this game and he is 9-8 with a 4.44 ERA this season. He has steadily allowed at least 2 earned runs in each of his last 8 starts, allowing 7 earned runs total in his last 2 starts alone, and he is also coming off of a start which he pitched a full 9 innings in. The last time he pitched a full 9 innings this season, he allowed 3 earned runs in his next start and he is going to give up runs here with the Yankees offense on fire recently. He has also been awful against the Yankees this season as he has had 3 starts against them and has allowed at least 5 earned runs in 2 of those starts. His last start against them was back at the end of June, a start he allowed 7 earned runs in less than 5 innings, and his only start at Yankee Stadium this year was a start which he allowed 5 earned runs in less than 2 innings. Marcus Stroman is starting for the Yankees in this game and he is 7-5 with a 3.64 ERA this season. He has not been pitching shutouts in his starts but he has allowed 3 earned runs or less in each of his last 3 as well as 5 of his last 6 starts. That is not awful considering how the Blue Jays offense has been struggling all season, and he also has a very hot Yankees offense that is one of the better offenses in the league to back him up here. The Yankees are rolling right now and they are going to continue rolling in this game with their red hot offense. The Yankees will win this game at home.