Bayer Leverkusen is coming into this match playing in great form in their recent matches. They have won their last 5 straight matches and have not been trending to the under in these, but their defense has been much better recently as they have only allowed 2 goals in their last 4 matches. When playing at home, they have not been trending to the under in those matches, but their defense has been much better as they have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 5 matches there, allowing just 3 goals in those 5 matches as well. They are going up against an Inter Milan side that has also been in great form as they have won 6 of their last 7 matches with no losses in that span, and they have been trending to the under in these as they have gone under 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 6 matches. Their defense has been great in these matches as well, allowing just 1 goal in their last 3 as well as 2 goals in their last 7 matches, but their attack has not been great as they have also scored just 1 goal in 4 of their last 6 matches as well. When playing away from home, they have gone under 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 4 matches and have not allowed a goal in any of those. Inter Milan has been very good on defense recently and they have been leaning on that in this competition as their last 3 straight as well as 4 of their 5 Champions League matches in this League Phase have stayed under 1.5 goals. They have not allowed a goal in any of their 5 UCL matches either, but they have only scored 7 goals in those as well. They are currently sitting in 2nd place in the League Phase and this is their strongest opponent left in the League Phase so they are going to be leaning on their defense once again in this match. Leverkusen will struggle to break down this defense as most teams have, but Leverkusen has also been playing very well on defense recently and will be able to keep this Inter attack out that has not been scoring. This will be a low scoring and more defensive match that stays under 2.5 goals.
UEFA Champions League: Bayer Leverkusen/Inter Milan under 2.5 goals, Rot. 224318