Lazio is coming into this match with no recent trend to the under in their matches, but they have been in much better form recently with their defense playing well. They have allowed just 1 goal in their last 2 matches and they have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 7 matches as well. Their attack has been very good in these matches, but they are playing one of the better defensive teams in the league here so they are not going to break down this defense easily. They are going up against an Inter Milan side that has been trending to the under in their recent matches. They have gone under 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3 as well as 5 of their last 7 matches. Their defense has been very good in these matches as they have only allowed 2 goals in their last 4 and 3 goals in their last 7 matches. Their attack has not been great though, scoring 1 goal or less in 2 of their last 3 as well as 5 of their last 7 matches, and they have been worse away from home as they lean more on their defense in those matches. When playing away from home, they have gone under 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches and have scored 1 goal or less in 3 of those matches, but their defense has been great as they have only allowed 1 goal in those 5 matches as well. Inter Milan is one of the better teams in the league this season and they have one of the better defenses as well so they are going to lean more on their defense away from home with the form Lazio has been in and Lazio is going to struggle to break them down here. Both of these squads also have to be feeling thin with all of the extra matches they have been playing between their domestic league, European competition, and Coppa Italia, so this is not going to be a high energy attacking match as both teams will sit in wait for the other to make a mistake to capitalize on. This is going to be a lower scoring and more defensive match that stays under 2.5 goals.
Italy Serie A: Lazio/Inter Milan under 2.5 goals, Rot. 201358