Louisville is coming into this game with a 9-5 record this season and they are 2-1 in the conference. They have been much better in their recent games as they have won their last 3 straight as well as 4 of their last 5 games. They have a conference win against Florida State on the road and they are coming off of a 13 point win at home against UNC in their last game, but they also have a home loss to Duke. They have some quality wins this season, but they also have some bad losses against ranked opponents. They are going up against a Virginia team that is 8-5 this season and they are 1-1 in the conference. They have won their last 2 straight as well as 3 of their last 4 games and they are coming off of a conference win at home against NC State in their last game. They have struggled in some of their games against stronger opponents, but they have been much better at home this season. They have won 7 of their 8 games at home this season with their only loss coming by 2 points against a very good Memphis team. Virginia is not an easy place to play in with the way they lock down on defense, and right now they have the 11th best defense in the country as they are only allowing 60.8 points per game. Louisville has been playing well, but they are not an elite team and this is still a conference game so Virginia is going to get up for it at home and will lock down this Louisville team, keeping them from scoring a lot of points here. This is a game that Virginia can win at home, but they will also keep it very close in a loss. Virginia will cover the spread in this game.