Tampa Bay is completely off of most people's radar since Brady retired. They did acquire Baker Mayfield and RB Rachaad White in the draft. The Bucs still have their top two wide receivers and still have a good offensive line. They have a top 10 pass defense so this team is still good without Brady. On the flip side, Minnesota was a pretend team last season, winning 11 of 13 games by single digits, not blowing out the competition at all, but when they lost, they got blown out. This team is ranked 31st in pass defense and haven't made any improvements this season in that area. QB Kirk Cousins is not as impressive as the other QB's in the league. They might pull out a miracle win over the Bucs but Tampa Bay has a history of covering against the Vikings and they could get the win outright. This is a lot of points, take em with the Bucs!

Head to head, Tamp Bay has covered 7 of their last 10 games played against each other. Tampa Bay are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games played in September. Minnesota are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games. Minnesota are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference South division.

Best bet: take the points with Tampa Bay.