This game will be a higher scoring game between the two as both can put up a lot of points and it will be a closer game than the points indicate. San Jose has played two tough teams leading into this game so they should do much better running the ball in this spot and more battle tested than Toledo. Take the points.

Toledo, after a cover as a double digit favorite is 1-3 ATS in the last three seasons and 3-5 ATS off a home win in the last three seasons. Toledo against Mountain West conference opponents is 1-4 ATS against an opponent in the Mountain West conference. Toledo are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games. Toledo are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played in week 3.

Best bet: take the points with the road underdog San Jose State.