This Phillies team has the better roster, experience and pitcher in this game in Nola. They are the hungrier team who want it more this season as they got denied last season. The Diamondbacks have had issues with their pitching this season, despite Kelly's good post season performance, and they will come up short against Nola today as they haven't seen much of him this season and he is rested and 2-0 in the postseason. That is a disadvantage to them. Philadelphia has done well offensively against Arizona this season and against Kelly and they should be able to get the lead with their powerful offense and keep it in this second game. The Phillies will do everything they possibly can, short of standing on their head, to pull this win out tonight and take the lead in the series as they are also solid at home this season going 5-0 SU in their last five at home.

Arizona are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games against Philadelphia. Arizona are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games on the road. Philadelphia are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games at home. Philadelphia are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against an opponent in the National League. Nola as a home favorite of -150 or more is 9-1 SU this season. Nola when leading in a playoff series is 1-0 SU this season.

Best bet: take Philadelphia on the moneyline.