The Aggies are starting to roll and Pavia has played really well up til now. They are the better team in this matchup and it's hard to go against a team that is finding ways to win every week. La Tech has only won two games this season and they have been a disaster up until their bye. They are rested but has anything really changed with this team that is giving up 198 yards per game. Whether Bachmeier plays or not, the Aggies can get a win as the Bulldogs have trouble stopping the run and New Mexico State will finally get a win against this team after six straight losses to them.

N. Mexico St are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread. N. Mexico St are 3-1 in their road games against the spread. New Mexico State is 6-2-0 ATS so far this season. Louisiana Tech are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against an opponent in the Independents (FBS) conference.

Best bet: take the points with New Mexico State.