The Bucks have some offense this season with the addition of Lillard but are struggling with defense. They haven't blown anyone out all season by double digits yet. When they play a defensive minded team, they lose or got blown out, especially by the Raptors who beat them by 19 points earlier in the season. Looking at their recent games, they haven't beaten anyone by more than 4-5 points, with the exception of the Heat who they beat by 8 points. This is too many points for a team that is struggling as they play a Chicago team that is off a win and is on a back to back. However, the Bulls should be competitive in this game and they should be able to cover this large spread. Whether Lillard is in or out tonight shouldn't make that much of a difference as his injury is not healed 100% and even with him in, this team has only managed to win by a few extra points. The Bulls can still take advantage of this opportunity with the Bucks tonight.

Milwaukee is 1-8 ATS in all games this season. The Bucks are 1-5 ATS this season as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. The Bucks are 0-2 ATS vs. division opponents this season and 0-2 ATS off of a road loss this season. The Bucks are 1-6 ATS this season after a game where they failed to cover the spread.

Best bet: take the points with Chicago.