Tampa Bay has started to play better in the last few weeks and they are home in this one hosting a Penguins team who have lost three out of their last four games. The only win they had in that stretch was a road win versus the Lightning. This is a revenge spot for the Ligthning and Kucherov and Stamkos get their way in this game as they even up the series for this season. Pittsburgh will be hard pressed to win another game off of Tamp Bay in this spot as the Lightning did just that with Dallas this week by evening up that series. Look for a better defensive effort by the Lightning to allow them to win this game tonight.

Best bet: take Tampa Bay at home on the moneyline.