This game will be much closer than the spread indicates. This is too many points for Harvard to cover in this game. Harvard wins the game by about 7-10 points as they haven't covered any spreads in their last several games. In fact they are 1-4 ATS in their last five games whereas Army is 3-1 ATS in their last four games. Army is a little better as a team this season, especially on defense, and can stay in this game as they will get up for this game.

Army is 15-6 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. Army is 22-9 ATS after allowing 25 points or less in the first half last game since 1997. Harvard is 10-22 ATS in home games after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1997. Harvard is 1-4 ATS in the last three seasons as a home favorite of 10 or more points.

Best bet: take the points with Army.