Toledo is the better team here in this spot, they are much better on defense and offense and they will overwhelm Northern Iowa in this game. The last time these two teams locked horns was last season where Toledo beat them on the road 83-75. Now the Rockets are at home in this game and a much improved team, especially at home where they are solid. Lay the small number as there is a lot of value in this spot.

Northern Iowa are 5-15 SU in their last 20 games. Northern Iowa are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games on the road. Northern Iowa are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against an opponent in the Mid-American conference. Toledo are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games. Toledo are 10-1 SU in their last 11 games at home. Toledo are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against an opponent in the Missouri Valley conference.

Best bet: lay the points with Toledo.