These two teams haven't played since 2014 and Memphis is at home to Virginia in this matchup this time. Memphis have been hot lately on both sides of the ball and their offense should be able to overcome the slow pace that Virginia wants to play at. Memphis also has the more talented team and depth in this matchup. The Cavaliers have struggled in scoring points and haven't broken 60 points in the last several games, and this is also Virginia's first true road game so take the home favorite to win and cover outright.

Virginia is 0-6 ATS in road games after playing a game where both teams score 65 points or less over the last 2 seasons. Virginia is 2-10 ATS after 4 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. Virginia is 1-3 ATS in the last three seasons and 9-25 ATS since 1997 off a close home win by 3 points or less.

Best bet: lay the small number with Memphis.