This is such a different spot for Cleveland and the Jets this season. A year ago, the Jets beat the Browns 31-30 on a bungled Chubb play that saw the Browns winning the game only to lose it in the last two minutes. The roles are reversed now and the Browns are crushing teams with their defense, probably the best defense in the league right now. Flacco, a back up QB for the Jets the last three seasons, and former Superbowl Champion, is in a revenge spot playing against his former team who did not take him back this season when Rodgers went down after he offered to play for them. Flacco has thrown for 10 TDs and 1,307 yards so far this season. The Jets go on the road with uncertainty in the quarterback position. It still hasn't been decided who will play. They have also lost their last two road games by more than double digits to the Bills and the Dolphins. It won't matter in this game who is at QB for the Jets as this is the worst time for the Jets to meet up with the Browns, who now see themselves within reach of a playoff spot...but they have to win this game tonight to clinch their destiny. This game feels like a Cleveland blowout, and even if the Jets manage to put some points up on the board, the Browns should win by double digits. It's hard to step in front of this train, and Mack won't do it. Take the home team who are 5-0 ATS at home this season.

NY Jets are 3-11 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games over the last 3 seasons. Cleveland is 7-1 ATS in home games this season. The Jets are 2-4 ATS this season as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. The Jets are 0-2 ATS this season as a road underdog of 7.5 to 10 points. The Browns are 5-1 ATS this season after playing their last game on the road.

Best bet: lay the points with Cleveland.