Bowling Green comes into this game on a false eight game win streak. Half of their wins are to really weak teams and some sub division teams, and most of them were at home except for one road win they had against the Screaming Eagles of Southern Indiana who are 5-11 so far this season. Bowling Green have played the much weaker schedule when compared to Akron who went toe to toe with St. Bonaventure the other night for one example. Akron is a team that is very good on offense at the three point line and in the paint, and battle tested. Their defense is tough and they will run circles around this BG team who are giving up too many points to opponents. Last year, Akron won this matchup 74-70 and this season, their team is much better with players like Ali Ali. The Zips went on the road and crushed Northern Illinois by 20 points and have played the better schools to within 1 to 3 points. This is a spot where one fades BG because they are 1-12 SU on the road when playing Akron and 2-10 SU versus MAC opponents. The league stat says to play on a home team, like Akron - after going under the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, on Friday nights, pans out 70% of the time or 35-15 SU in the last five seasons. Take Akron who are much much better on both sides of the ball.

Akron are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games. Akron are 8-0 SU in their last 8 games at home. Akron are 12-1 SU in their last 13 games when playing at home against Bowling Green. Bowling Green are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games. Bowling Green are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games against Akron. BG are 0-1 ATS this season and 4-18 ATS in the last three seasons as a road underdog or pick. BG are 0-3 ATS this season and 12-27 ATS in the last three seasons after one or more consecutive overs. BG are 0-2 ATS this season and 6-23 ATS in the last three seasons after allowing 80 points or more. BG are 0-2 ATS this season and 3-10 ATS in the last three seasons after playing 2 consecutive home games.

Best bet: lay the points with Akron