The Hawks were up 20 points on OKC the other night at home only to let the Thunder back in the game and almost win it from them. That is a reflection on their bad defensive play and this team has struggled all season to cover games. This team covered one time this season on back to backs and cannot be trusted to cover this game as they are 8-25 ATS this season, and especially on the road, are worse. The Pacers have looked better on defense and they are good at home in this spot and should cover this short spread in what will be a higher scoring game.

The Pacers are 5-0 in their last 5 games against the spread. The Pacers are 5-0 in their last 5 games. The Hawks are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread. The Hawks are 6-13 in their road games against the spread. Atlanta is 4-12 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Atlanta is 1-8 ATS after having won 2 of their last 3 games this season. Atlanta is 9-24 ATS after a win by 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons. Atlanta are 1-4 ATS this season and 8-24 ATS in the last three seasons off an upset win as an underdog.

Best bet: lay the points with Indiana.