Mississippi Valley State are 0-14 coming into this game. What the good news is, is it's just a matter of time before they win a game. This team has played a tough schedule this season against some of the best teams in the nation like Gonzaga, Baylor, Tulsa and San Francisco to name a few so just looking at their record and seeing no wins is explainable. However, they have covered in five of their games and their last game they lost by just 3 points to Alabama State, but covered. Alabama A&M shouldn't be favored on the road by this many points as they have struggled this season as well, and lost to the very team MVSU almost beat the other night in Alabama State. The point is there is a real chance that MVSU at least covers this spread, and if they can fire up their offense, have a chance to win the game at home as this will be one of few opportunities left to do so this season, especially at home. MVSU ST is 8-1 ATS in home games after 6 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. Take the points.

Alabama A&M is 3-12 ATS in road games when playing against a terrible team with a win percentage less or equal to 20% since 1997. MVSU is 11-3 ATS when playing against a bad team with a win percentage between 20% to 40% over the last 2 seasons. Alabama A&M is 12-29 ATS in road games. Alabama A&M is 0-7 ATS after a game outrebounding opponent by 15 or more since 1997. when playing with one or less days rest since 1997. MVSU is 6-0 ATS in a home game where the total is 130 to 134.5 over the last 3 seasons. MVSU is 13-4 ATS in home games off a cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog since 1997.

Best bet: take the points with Mississippi Valley State.