TCU has had a loss on the road to Cincinnati in between their best win of the season against Houston and being at home in this matchup against the Cyclones. The Horned Frogs are going to be upset that they lost a conference game and will want to put the smack down on Iowa State as they are playing with triple revenge. Iowa State has beaten them the last three times they played each other. This game has been circled on the calendar and TCU will get up for this game in this spot. They are playing well and putting up the offense. On the flip side, Iowa State has only won two of their five road games and to lower ranked teams in the nation, namely VCU and DePaul. They struggled against better competition in Oklahoma, BYU and Virginia Tech. It's tough to get a win in Fort Worth as the Horned Frogs have won ten in a row there, and the crowd will be behind them so expect TCU to clamp down on the Cyclones and exact some revenge to win and cover this game.

TCU are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games. TCU are 13-4 SU in their last 17 games. TCU are 10-0 SU in their last 10 games at home. TCU are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing at home against Iowa State. TCU are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games against an opponent in the Big 12 conference. Iowa State are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games. Iowa State are 4-8 SU in their last 12 games against TCU. Iowa State are 2-9 SU in their last 11 games on the road. Iowa State are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games played in January. Iowa State are 1-3 ATS this season after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread. TCU are 1-0 ATS this season and 5-1 ATS in the last three seasons after a game where they made 45% of their free throws or worse. TCU are 16-6 ATS in the last three seasons off a loss against a conference rival. TCU are 3-0 ATS this season after 1 or more consecutive losses.

Best bet: lay the small number with TCU.