Southern is playing with revenge in this game as they lost to Alabama State the last time out. Southern are playing well this season and are 6-4 in conference play versus the Hornets 3-7. When the spread is -4.5, Southern have covered it six out of eight times. The Hornets have lost three of their last four games and are on the road in this one off a fresh loss. The Jaguars have won five straight and are at home again in this spot. They should win and cover here.

Alabama State are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games against Southern. Alabama State are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games against Southern. Alabama State are 3-12 SU in their last 15 games on the road. Alabama State are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Southern. Southern are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. Southern are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games when playing at home against Alabama State. Southern are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games played on a Monday when playing at home.

Best bet: lay the points with Southern.