Texas is a very talented team and the last time they played Houston they were very competitive. Both have top 100 defenses but Houston is a little better on offense, and being at home, should control this game and cover this spread. This is the time when teams pour it on and this game is too important for Houston to not take control of. Houston are 13-0 at home and they are the better team in this matchup. Take the home team.

Texas are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games on the road. Texas are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games played on a Saturday when playing on the road. Houston are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games. Houston are 18-0 SU in their last 18 games at home. Houston are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against an opponent in the Big 12 conference.

Best bet: lay the points with Houston.